Read "The Next Years A Forecast for the 21st Century" by George Friedman available from Rakuten Kobo. Sign up today and get $5 off your first download. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data. Friedman, George. The next years: a forecast for the 21st century / George Friedman. —. 1st ed. p. cm. Editorial Reviews. Review. site Best of the Month, January "Be site Store · site eBooks · Politics & Social Sciences.

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U.S., the new great powers Turkey, Poland and Japan. The Next Years is a download the Ebook: Kobo · Barnes & Noble · Apple · Books A Million · site. site Best of the Month, January “Be Practical, Expect the Impossible.” So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and. China fragments, a new Cold War with Russia, Mexcio challenges U.S., the new great powers Turkey, Poland and Japan. The Next Years.

The Next 100 Years

Friedman is committed to a wide geopolitical perspective, and his predictions rest on broad, detailed historical knowledge. Even if you think some predictions are farfetched or too specific for such long time frames , the parallels he draws between what happened historically and what he believes will happen in the future are quite educational.

By , that was a lost dream. World War I had killed millions.

Empires had vanished. Germany had fallen.

Communism ruled Russia. Jump to Germany had recovered and had started a terrifying war.

Jump to Germany had lost and ended up split in two. The U. The possibility of nuclear war rumbled in the background.

Indeed, his latest project, Social Book , allows members to insert comments directly into digital book texts and is already used by teachers at several high schools and universities to stimulate discussions. Like woodblock printing, hand-processed film and folk weaving, printed pages may assume an artisanal or aesthetic value.

Books meant not to be read but to be looked at — art catalogues or coffee table collections — will likely remain in print form for longer as well. Frankly, I reached that point years ago for books that you just read. Some research indicates that there is cause for concern. Research roughly indicates that print falls on one end of the reading spectrum the most immersive and that online text occurs at the other end the most distracting.

site reading seems to fall somewhere in the middle. Indeed, some studies have produced opposite results, including that e-reading does not impact comprehension or that it can even enhance it, especially for readers with dyslexia. View image of Books may live on as a purely aesthetic download Credit: iStock Findings are also mixed for how digital reading affects children.

But the effect these additions have on reading varies depending on how they are executed. In several experiments involving more than kindergarteners, Bus and her colleagues found that kids who read animated e-books understood the story better and learned more vocabulary than those who read static ones.

The recent uptick in the number of independent bookstores, at least in the US, gives her encouragement that others, too, are recognising the value of print. If you liked this story, sign up for the weekly bbc.Peter L.


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