The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: ''On Robustness and Fragility''. Home · The Black Swan: The DOWNLOAD EPUB. Aug 7, Free site book and epub digitized and proofread by Project Gutenberg. The Black Swan at Home and Abroad by Anonymous. Book Cover. Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt - by Michael Lewis - a book about a small group of Wall Street guys who figure out the U. stock market and create an exchange.
|Language:||English, Arabic, Dutch|
|Genre:||Fiction & Literature|
|ePub File Size:||23.35 MB|
|PDF File Size:||8.12 MB|
|Distribution:||Free* [*Registration needed]|
Feb 28, Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Number of Pages: pages. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fragility ebook epub/pdf/ mobi/azw3. Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Jul 7, Read or download The Black Swan at Shakespir, your free ebook reading partner. Available in TXT,PDB,LRF,PDF,MOBI,EPUB.
Black Swan. The Improbable.
The Fox and the Swan. Swan And The Bear. Song of the Swan.
The impact of 9 11 and the new legal landscape. Black Swan Green. Black Swan, White Raven. The Silver Swan: A Novel.
The Swan Thieves: Black Swan Rising. Recommend Documents.
Names, characters, places, and incidents either are the pr It was all utterly impossibl Your name. The Black Swan: Nassim Nicholas Taleb. How to Download Follow Twitter.
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur?
Add to Wish List
Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world.
Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell.
The Black Swan
He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.
The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition. Four hundred years ago, Francis Bacon warned that our minds are wired to deceive us.
Our brains are wired for narrative, not statistical uncertainty. The truth is that we have no idea why stock markets go up or down on any given day, and whatever reason we give is sure to be grossly simplified, if not flat out wrong.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb first made this argument in Fooled by Randomness, an engaging look at the history and reasons for our predilection for self-deception when it comes to statistics.
Now, in The Black Swan: Instead, the really important events are rare and unpredictable.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur?
All you need is one single and, I am told, quite ugly black bird.
For the applications of the sciences of uncertainty to real-world problems has had ridiculous effects; I have been privileged to see it in finance and economics. The sighting of the first black swan might have been an interesting surprise for a few ornithologists and others extremely concerned with the coloring of birds , but that is not where the significance of the story lies.
The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.